My Mantra

"Opportunities are only limited by the constraints imposed by oneself." Copyright 2003 - 2017

Saturday, August 2, 2008

Failed Prediction - Microsoft's Bill Gates

Below are some failed prediction from Chairman and CEO of Microsoft Bill Gates.

“We will never make a 32 bit operating system.” — Bill Gates. He also once comically stated in a Focus magazine interview that "there are no significant bugs in our released software that any significant number of users want fixed." Ha! But here’s one of his failed predictions that we actually wish he had gotten right: in 2004 he told the BBC that, "spam will be a thing of the past in two years' time." Three years later spam is alive and well and poised to outlast Web 2. Retrieved on July 28, 2008 from http://www.dailygalaxy.com/my_weblog/2007/10/top-10-failed-t.html

Each of these prediction stated above were incorrect to say the least which sheds light on the obscurity, difficulty and complexity of predicting future events and trends. How many of us would have predicted the quick generation of CPU’s from the 4004 to the current quad core Pentium CPU. The electronic SPAM has replaced by leaps and bounds the receipt of snail mail junk mail by exponential quantities.

As Juan Enriquez states in As the Future Catches Your, Bill Gate’s Microsoft organization was easier to work with than the exclusive Apple organization. Microsoft’s relied upon other small entities to develop quality products. Such as Visio from the Visio Corporation before acquiring the organization and placing the Microsoft seal of approval upon the product, increasing the price and taking credit for the innovation. Thus the ability to generate visionary software is outside Microsoft’s bounds but not beyond its pocket book once proven.

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